Active Investor e-Newsletter
Gary’s Comments Equity markets have experienced some very volatile price action in the last month or so. To put it into perspective, equity indices on the US markets have reached similar volatility levels in August / September 2011 to those experienced on only a few preceding occasions: in March 2009, July 2002, October 1974, June 1970, […]
I can’t think – Part 5 – Recency bias
One of the failings of the human brain is its inability to ‘weight’ the information it receives. All the information the brain receives is given the same level of importance and it is only through time and subconscious processing that we are then able to filter the information and provide weight to what is important […]
I can’t think – Part 4 – Decision making remorse
Even if we do manage to make a decision despite being inundated with information research has found that the more information we use to make these decisions the more we then tend to regret the decision we have made, fearing that we may have forgone too many other options! In another study in 2006 Iyengar […]
I can’t think – Part 3 – Total Overwhelm
One of the major issues emerging from the never ending flow of information with which we are being constantly bombarded is the complete breakdown in our ability to make decisions and to choose a course of action. Every bit of information we receive presents us with a choice – do we need to pay attention […]
Active Investor e-Newsletter
Gary’s Comments The table below shows a totally green “% Change” column and totally red “Intelledgence Risk Status” (Intelledgence takes a long term view using price action and momentum of price action), “Short Term Trend” and “Long Term Trend” (uses Intelledgence) columns. What does that tell us about the current state of affairs in equity markets? Well, I am a […]
What just happened? And what are you doing about it?
Global stock markets have experienced extreme levels of volatility over this past week, not seen since the events leading up to and contributing to the GFC in 2007 and 2008 – the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) doubled in just 3 trading sessions! This was followed on Tuesday of this week by the greatest one day […]
I can’t think – Part 2
In times past, decisions were based, more often than not, on much less information than we now use to arrive at our decisions. This is, of course, due to the huge amount of information that is now available to us electronically via the Internet and other electronic communication media including mobile phones and the various […]
Gary on SKY News YMYC – 26th July 2011
Last Tuesday night, July 26, Gary joined guest host Lachlan Mc Pherson from HUBB Financial on Sky Business Channel’s ‘Your Money Your Call’ The pair discussed the recent oversold condition in our equity markets as well as participant indecision and the likely direction and trading range of the market in the medium term. Lachlan and […]
Active Investor e-Newsletter
Gary’s Comments All equity indices in the Overseas Market table below are in short term up trends except for the Shanghai All Share Index. The short term up trend will remain in tact until new 7 day lows occur. However, most of the indices have completed a lower high which is fine provided they are followed up […]
I can’t think – Part 1
As human beings we are often faced with a mind-numbing array of choices when making decisions that can leave us paralysed by the consequences of information overload. This can vary from making decisions about which new car to buy, which personal banking product to use, or which variety of jam to buy from the multitude […]